FORECAST GAS WEIGHTED DEGREE DAYS · SEVEN MODELS · 3,108 COUNTIES BRIEF DASHBOARD MAP EXPLORER OBSERVED STORAGE SUPPLY WEEKS 3–4 MODELS VERIFICATION METHOD

MODELS

Seven models, every run: what each one is, when it last ran, and how accurate it has been against observed degree days.

The roster

Accuracy leaderboard

Lower 48, last 30 days: how far each model has been from what was observed, by days ahead. Samples differ by model; compare identical samples on Verification.

Mean absolute error by days ahead

Against observed degree days (NOAA nClimGrid), 00Z and 12Z runs. Each model uses its available sample; the lowest MAE at each lead is marked.